Iceland rejects EU-accession talks in close-fought referendum

Reuters:

• Fisheries, cost of living and security in focus
• Clear setback for Brussels, EU diplomat tells Reuters
• Brussels officials had hoped an Iceland vote to join would curb euroscepticism
• Government to hold press conference at 1300 GMT

Icelanders voted to stay out of the European Union, referendum results showed on Sunday, as they rejected ‌a government push to reopen membership talks and sided with those who said Iceland's fishing waters were too important to risk.

The Arctic Island of 400,000 people has debated whether to join the EU for well over a decade and had initially been expected to narrowly back holding membership talks, but opinion polls this month showed views had changed.

"This is a clear setback for Brussels," an EU diplomat told Reuters, adding that the issues of fishing and independence had been decisive.

In Saturday's referendum, 52.8% of ballots cast were against the government's proposal to hold negotiations with Brussels, 47.2% were in favour, and 82.5% of eligible voters took ⁠part, public broadcaster RUV and other Icelandic media reported.

Out of six constituencies, only the two in central Reykjavik had a majority that voted in favour, while the rural areas and the Reykjavik suburbs voted against.

The government framed membership as a shield against trade wars and Arctic rivalry and presented the referendum as a "now or never" moment. Prime Minister Kristrun Frostadottir said a "no" would end the debate for as long as her centre-left coalition was in power.

DECADES OF MEMBERSHIP DEBATE

In Brussels, some officials had voiced hopes a vote to join from Iceland could ease scepticism toward EU enlargement and strategically strengthen the bloc when Arctic security is in focus.

Iceland, a NATO member state but with no standing army of its own, also debated whether EU accession could boost the country's security when US President Donald Trumphas cast doubt on the US commitment to the military alliance.

Trump has also repeatedly said he wants to acquire Greenland, another Arctic island.

But for some Icelanders, fishing was a sharper focus than security.

The industry is one of Iceland's biggest, making ‌up 15% ⁠of gross domestic product in direct and indirect contributions, and some 40% of export revenue, data shows.

INTEREST RATES AND THE COST OF LIVING

The island nation first applied to join the EU in 2009 when a financial crisis hit the country's small, exposed economy. A Eurosceptic government ended talks in 2013.

Ahead of Saturday's referendum, finances were again a central issue as Iceland has grappled with high inflation and interest rates.

Supporters of a "yes" vote said EU membership, and possibly adopting the euro, could bring relief. Iceland's central bank interest rate is 8%, compared with 2.25% at the ⁠European Central Bank.

"It would not solve Iceland's structural faults, but it could become a catalyst to a more healthy economy," said chief economist Vilhjalmur Hilmarsson at Viska, one of Iceland's largest labour unions.

Opposition leader Gudrun Hafsteinsdottir, who led the "no" campaign, said the economic case is overstated. "These are not problems that Brussels will solve for us. These are problems that Icelandic politicians must solve," she ⁠said.

Voter Ragnhildur Skarphedinsdottir, 70, said Iceland was managing well on its own and that she was voting "no."

"By staying independent as we are, we look brightly to the future," she said before casting her ballot in Reykjavik.

Under EU rules, fishing quotas are based on historical fishing patterns, among other factors. Some Icelandic officials have said Iceland would therefore ⁠retain control of its waters, since no EU country has fished there for decades.

Hafsteinsdottir disputed that. "I know that the European Union will come up with some promises of some flexibility, especially in the beginning, but we know that it will not be for good," she said.