Inflation rises to 8.8% in Q3 FY26: Cenbank

Bangladesh's inflation rose to an average 8.8% year-on-year in the January-March quarter of FY26, up from 8.3% in the previous quarter, driven mainly by higher food and energy prices, according to Bangladesh Bank's latest quarterly report released today (28 April).

The central bank attributed the rise to Eid-related food demand and persistent energy costs.

Food inflation was the main contributor, increasing by 1.2 percentage points to 8.6%.

Within this segment, vegetable prices saw a sharp reversal, contributing 22.7% to the overall rise after previously contracting 13.4%. Protein prices accounted for 44.6% of the food inflation increase, while cereal prices eased during the period.

At the retail level, prices of rice, lentils, soy oil and chicken rose, while onion prices declined sharply.

Core inflation edged down to 8%, supported by declines in clothing, healthcare and furniture costs. However, transport and communication costs surged significantly to 19.4%, offsetting some of the moderation.

Energy inflation also increased to 14.9% in Q3 FY26, compared to 14.4% in the previous quarter. Solid fuels such as firewood, agricultural by-products, cow dung and jute sticks remained key drivers, alongside higher gas prices.

The report noted that price pressures broadened during the quarter, with 230 of 382 tracked CPI items recording price increases in March. Despite this, kernel density analysis suggests inflation in FY26 has been less volatile compared to FY25.

The wage-price gap narrowed only slightly, with wages rising 8.1% compared to inflation at 8.7%, continuing to squeeze real incomes amid weak economic growth.

The Asian Development Bank has projected full-year FY26 inflation at 9%, warning that global oil price volatility remains a key risk.

Bangladesh Bank also stressed the need for continued vigilance to anchor inflation expectations and protect household purchasing power.